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"there is not a chance in HELL that California would EVER vote for McCain."
Don't underestimate the Drivers License for illegal aliens issue or the Bradley effect. Tom Bradley was 15% to 20% ahead of George Deukmejian in the final polls in 1982, but lost. And the master manipulator, Pete Wilson, is helping McCain. Also, GOP candidates habitually run 5% ahead of the final statewide polls anyway.